When ‘world columnists’ at the Washington Post who are ’senior associates’ at such places as the Carnegie Endowment for International Peace come out with cynical articles such as his ‘Giving Futility its Chance’, then one is left wondering whether we have actually slipped into an Orwellian nightmare without having noticed.
Mr. Robert Kagan, who I am sure has peace on his mind, very smugly puts himself in George Bush’s mind and more or less says that Bush is on course for another American military adventure in the Middle East. This time the intended victim is Iran. Bush has made up his mind that he will not go down as the American President who let the “mullahs have the bomb”.
Further, in this “profoundly unserious international environment”, Bush knows that diplomacy will fail yet again, just as it did in Iraq, and so he can afford to show that he is willing to let diplomacy have its chance. After all, the more he postpones a military attack on Iran, the better it will look on him since he can ride the tide of popularity and then exit the scene when the going gets tough.
It appears that Mr. Kagan has not really given any thought to what will happen after any military attack on Iran. But then again, who thought much about the ‘after’ in Iraq? In any case, Mr. Kagan takes for granted that Iran is in fact a guilty party. But a closer reading of the subtext of his article also reveals that, guilty or not, Iranians are not worthy of having the kind of ‘goodies’ that more serious people, (Americans and Israelis for example) are deserving enough to have.
Apparently, Mr. Kagan is doing his bit for peace in the best way that men and women of his ilk know how: by preparing (and hoping) for war.
Mr. Kagan must have gotten a divorce from reality, since he shows consistently in his articles that he is incappable of comprehending the situation in the Middle East. But then again, I am sure that Mr. Kagan has excellent sources…it’s just that his duty calls on him to say what it is that he says…or at least his handlers do.
But let’s get serious. Iran has proven that it is capable of building a more or less home-grown nuclear program that can give it both nuclear energy and nuclear weapons. The West cannot rely forever on containment of this technology in order to keep it out of the hands of the ‘bad’ guys. What this means is that a new model is required in order to set the tone for the rest of this new century.
This new model must take into consideration that there can be no ‘good’ or ‘bad’ guys. This type of dichotomy only still works in North America because, despite it’s technological advances, it is still a bit behind in terms of cultural sophistication at the highest levels. The idea of ‘pariah states’ and ‘axis of evil’ is a Hollywood production that has run its course.
To give a blunt example, the Soviet Union was at one time labeled as the ‘evil empire’. So what? It had thousands of nuclear warheads, and Russia today still continues to do so. For every ‘evil’ thing Russia has done, someone can easily come up with an American counterpart. And as far as pariah states are concerned, the US fits the bill just fine, if one looks at the war in Iraq objectively.
The difference though, between ‘evil empires’ and ‘evil states’ such as Iran or North Korea or Syria, is that the Soviet Union and China were considered and treated as equals. This of course was due to theior having the ‘bomb’. This means that as long as countries such as Iran, North Kore and Syria do not have the bomb, then the US and Israel do not need to treat them as equals. Because if they were to have to treat them as equals, then they would have to address their legitimate grievances. Here is where it all pivots, on this point of equality. As long as Iran, syria, North Korea or the Palestinians are not considered equal, then the US and Israel can continue to treat them as second rate.
Unfortunately, as long as US public opinion remains unsophisticated and naive, then people like Kagan can be brought out to ’soften’ it up before any new and major criminal activity by ‘civilized and democratic’ US administrations…
Chris Voidis
www.yioni.com/counter-spin.html